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Epidemics and human behaviour (II)

10:40 – 11:00 – Spatial characterisation of residual disease in environmentally mediated drug resistance / Presenting author: Amy Milne.

11:00 – 11:20 – Mathematical modelling of stem and progenitor cell dynamics during ruxolitinib treatment of MPN patients. / Presenting author: Tobias Idor Boklund.

11:20 – 11:40 – Mathematical modeling of platelet formation in healthy individuals and blood cancer patients / Presenting author: Chenxu Zhu.

11:40 – 12:00 – Modelling laser-induced thermal ablation: incorporating tissue water concentration and its vaporization effects for liver cancer treatment / Presenting author: Federico Herrero HervΓ‘s.

Epidemics and human behaviour (I)

17:20 – 17:40 – Modelling the impact of mass gathering events (MGE) on potential future pandemics / Presenting author: Beryl Musundi.

17:40 – 18:00 – Cross-disease predictive analysis: A new paradigm in pandemic preparedness / Presenting author: Joana Meyer.

18:00 – 18:20 – Backward bifurcation and permanence of disease-severity-structured epidemic models with treatment capacity / Presenting author: Yasuhisa Saito.

Epidemiology (Non pharmacological models)

“15:00 – 15:20 – Deployment of genetic variability in treescapes: Insights from a bioeconomic model / Presenting author: Ewan McTaggart.

15:20 – 15:40 – Method to estimate the impact of control measures on the reproduction number / Presenting author: Jantien Backer.

15:40 – 16:00 – A retrospective analysis on the robustness of existing compartmental models for modelling future pandemics / Presenting author: Ioana Bouros.

16:00 – 16:20 – Modelling the importation dynamics and establishment of infectious diseases using a general branching process / Presenting author: Jacob Curran-Sebastian.”

Data-driven approaches in infectious disease modelling

Organizers: Necibe Tuncer & Stanca Ciupe
10:40 – 11:00 – Simple models of epidemic control through mass-testing / Presenting author: Andrea Pugliese.

11:00 – 11:20 – Data-dependent limits to modeling viral dynamics and epidemic spreading / Presenting author: Mario Castro Pence.

11:20 – 11:40 – Multi-scale modelling of inhalational anthrax / Presenting author: Bevelynn Williams.

11:40 – 12:00 – The effect of model structure and data availability on Usutu virus dynamics at three biological scales / Presenting author: Necibe Tuncer.

Vector-borne diseases: miscellaneous

17:20 – 17:40 – Assessing neutral network models of mosquito abundance for vector surveillance / Presenting author: Adrienne Kinney.

17:40 – 18:00 – Evaluating the potential of microsporidia MB (MB) symbiont in malaria control using mathematical modelling / Presenting author: Charlene N. T. Mfangnia.

18:00 – 18:20 – Evaluating targeted vector-control strategies for malaria elimination in Cambodia’s forested regions: a stochastic modelling approach / Presenting author: Emma Fairbank

New directions for stochastic models on epidemics (II)

Organizers: Jacob Curran-Sebastian & Thomas House

15:00 – 15:20 – Time series models of epidemics and associated tree structures / Presenting author: Niket Thakkar.

15:20 – 15:40 – Long-term behaviour of a stochastic epidemic in a growing population / Presenting author: Malwina Luczak.

15:40 – 16:00 – Modeling the impact of human movement on the spread of Dengue Virus: the importance of appropiate spatial scales / Presenting author: Alun Lloyd.

16:00 – 16:20 – Modeling spreading on networks / Presenting author: James Gleeson.

New directions for stochastic models of epidemics (I)

Organizers: Jacob Curran-Sebastian & Thomas House.

10:40 – 11:00 – Long-term behaviour of a stochastic epidemic in a growing population / Presenting author: Malwina Luczak

11:00 – 11:20 – Applications of Bayesian stochastic hierarchical models in epidemiology / Presenting author: Punya Alahakoon.

11:20 – 11:40 – Using Hawkes process to model malaria in countries close to elimination / Presenting author: Juliette Unwin.

11:40 – 12:00 – A Bayesian SEIR modelling approach to quantifying the impact of COVID-19 Vaccination on lives saved in Sweden 2021 / Presenting author: Fanny BergstrΓΆm.

Mathematical models for vector-borne infections (II)

Organizers: Christopher Kribs​ & Andrea Pugliese​

15:00 – 15:20 -Modelling the climate-driven transmission suitability of the dengue virus / Presenting author: JosΓ© LourenΓ§o.

15:20 – 15:40 – Impact of ADE and dengue vaccination with screening on the toll of a dual dengue-Zika outbreak / Presenting author: Christopher Kribs.

15:40 – 16:00 – Evaluating the transmission dynamics of co-circulating chikungunya, Zika, and dengue viruses / Presenting author: Alex Perkins.

16:00 – 16:20 – A novel compartmental framework for modelling lymphatic filariasis dynamics and elimination strategies / Presenting author: Indrajit Ghosh.

Insights and emerging trends in infectious disease modeling and mathematical analysis (II)

Organizers: Burcu GΓΌrbΓΌz & Alan D. Rendall

17:00 – 17:20 – Mathematical modelling of replication-mutation dynamics of coronaviruses / Presenting author: Konstantin Blyuss.

17:20 – 17:40 – Problems and applications of kinetics models for interacting cellular dynamics / Presenting author: Ana Jacinta-Soares.

17:40 – 18:00 – Threshold dynamics in a periodic time-delayed model for measles with passive immunity and double-dose vaccination / Presenting author: Atila Denes.

18:00 – 18:20 – Addressing vaccine hesitancy: Untangling the role of social interventions and behaviour compensation / Presenting author: Komal Tanwar.

Mathematical models for vector-borne infections (I)

Organizers: Christopher Kribs​ & Andrea Pugliese​

10:40 – 11:00 – The impact of infestation behaviors on vector-borne disease: cofeeding transmission dynamics / Presenting author: Jianhong Wu.

11:00 – 11:20 – Spatio-temporal dynamics of arbovirus transmission and control / Presenting author: Ilaria Dorigatti.

11:20 – 11:40 – Modeling the risk of arboviral transmission at detailed spatio-temporal
scales / Presenting author: Piero Poletti

11:40 – 12:00 – Estimating the risk of vector-borne disease spread in seasonal
environments / Presenting author: Kyeongah Nah